The Trump effect
06/02/2017 | Ian Slattery
The global index trended downwards over the course of the week, finishing 0.6% lower in euro terms as concerns around Trump's policies come to the fore, writes Ian Slattery.
Global equities finished in negative territory, despite shaving losses towards the end of the week on the back of well received US economic data. The January US jobs report stated that 227,000 jobs were created, well above the forecast 170,000. However, this was tempered somewhat by a slowing average earnings growth.
President Trump remained a key influence on markets as the fallout from his travel ban remained to the forefront of news reports during the week, weighing on both stocks and the US dollar. However, financial stocks were higher on the prospect of decreased regulation on Wall Street, whilst Oil was higher as the US administration put Iran 'on notice' after it tested a ballistic missile.
In its first policy meeting of the year the Fed, as expected, left US interest rates unchanged. Lastly, earnings season continues to be positively received, with the majority of companies reporting last week beating expectations.
The global index trended downwards over the course of the week, finishing 0.6% lower in euro terms. Copper paused for breath, following recent gains, returning -2.7% over the period. Gold was positive 2.4% over the week, as investors displayed a more 'risk off' appetite. Oil returned 1.4%, as supply concerns in the Middle East came to the fore. The US 10-year bond was relatively flat during the week, moving from 2.48% to 2.46%. The yield on the equivalent German Bund closed at 0.41%.
The week ahead
Monday 6th - Friday 10th February: Over 80 S&P 500 companies are due to report earnings this week, with highlights including Coca-Cola and Walt Disney on Tuesday, and Rio Tinto on Wednesday.
Tuesday 7th February: US Trade Balance figures for December are released, where the deficit is expected to remain at just above $45bn. With the trade balance a key policy focus of President Trump, the political reaction will be closely watched.
Friday 10th February: The IEA oil market report goes to print were markets will be keen to see if OPEC is sticking to its production cut promises, and also if US production is increasing thanks to higher prices.
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